Nexus One outlook

The Google Nexus One is all of one week old now, but that's not stoping the sales estimates and now total market worth from rolling in. Above is a breakdown from Trefis, by way of TechCrunch, which has rolled the Nexus One into its financial forecast for GOOG.

The bottom line: Trefis predicts the Nexus One will make up almost $20 billion, or 9.3 percent, of GOOG's total market cap. By comparison, ad and searach partnerships make up 5.1 percent, Google Apps 3.2 percent, YouTube 2.4 percent and search ads 68.1 percent.

There's an awful lot of math going on here, ans well as an awful lot of assumptions. Probably the biggest is the impact that the Nexus One will have on Google in 2016. It's a spectacular phone. But what was the last smartphone product line you remember lasting six years?

And by now you're probably thinking to yourself, "The Nexus One? With its network problems and lackluster sales?" Remember that this prediction looks into the future, not at the past week. Once the Nexus One hits other markets worldwide (and on Verizon, for starters, in the U.S.), then it's game-on.

 
There are 11 comments

droidweasel says:

i think they should sell over 20 k and then decide.lol. getting a little ahead o themselves. could be a flop. nevano.

Anonymous says:

I agree with you a 100%. if only they sold the phone for max 300. they could of been a serious competitor with the iphone. I am starting to have mix feeling about android lately, 2 months ago i swore by it....now its up in the air. I am actually looking forward to see with WM7 has to offer.

ucfgrad93 says:

Agreed. At best these analysts are a little over-enthusiastic at worst blatant fanboys.

armrob says:

they can't even predict if Android will still be around or relevant in the smartphone market in 2016. so far a lot of promises but with every new android device comes another disappointment. I had the Dream, the Magic and the Hero, all with issues. I thought the Nexus would be the real "superphone" we were waiting for, but it only took 3 days of use to send it back. maybe they meant the Nexus line will be worth 20bn. by 2016 we'll have the Nexus 5, all the bugs should be corrected by then.

Japultra says:

I think someone forgot to proofread this post.

Mark S says:

There isn't a single smartphone or Smartphone OS that doesn't have issues. It seems like everyone is in such a rush to cram as much technology and bells and whistles into a smaller and smaller package they are forgetting to make it work first.

Ryan says:

Seriously... proof read your posts, guys.

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