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Looks like analysts are feeling pretty good about the Nexus One. Barclay Capitals analyst Doug Smith believes that Google will sell 5-6 million Nexus Ones this year. That's a very, very big number and if reached, the Nexus One and Google's new Google.com/phone will be an out and out success.

Do we think it's possible? Maybe. With Google's name and dollar behind it, anything is possible. But hitting 5-6 million is a little harder if the Nexus One isn't available in stores. Don't forget, a lot of people like to actually play with a device before they plop down the cold hard cash. And if more Nexus-type devices come out this year, like we expect, it'll definitely slow down the momentum of the original Nexus One.

But one thing the Nexus One got going for it? It's headed to Verizon. Verizon plus Newest Smartphone almost always equal success. Heck, by the end of the year, Verizon Nexus Ones will probably make up 90% of that 5-6 million.

Do you guys think they'll hit 5-6 million this year?

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11 Comments

Posted by Anonymous (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 07:302 years ago

its possible but with apple coming out with the 4th gen. iphone, i don't see it for nexus but i can be wrong.

 
Posted by Sydney (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 07:312 years ago

Unless Google develops a penchant for customer service, these numbers are unrealistic. Barclay must not read the tech blogs.

 
Posted by Anonymous (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 07:472 years ago

When Verizon enters the picture the chances will greatly improve. But if Apple ends its exclusivity with ATT as rumored they'll like offer the N1 in the 2nd half of 2010. Even while competing with the iPhone on VZW and ATT, I think the N1 could hit those numbers.

 
Posted by Anonymous (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 07:492 years ago

When Verizon enters the picture the chances will greatly improve. But if Apple ends its exclusivity with ATT as rumored they'll like offer the N1 in the 2nd half of 2010. Even while competing with the iPhone on VZW and ATT, I think the N1 could hit those numbers.Of course there's still that popular Moto Droid that could throw a wrench in those plans.

 
Posted by PJnc284
January 12, 2010 - 08:202 years ago

With the droid selling nearly a million phones in a little over a month, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Nexus One hit those numbers especially on multiple carriers. Google just needs to clear up the support issue.

 
Posted by Steven (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 13:072 years ago

" Google just needs to clear up the support issue."

LOL! What an idiot...

 
Posted by neofire
January 12, 2010 - 08:332 years ago

Google should toss up a couple thousand kiosks to give customers a chance to play with the device I doubt they will sell that many through pure online sales alone.
Multiple carriers is definitely a plus, but when our "ifriend" gets stirred up, all other devices will lose momentum. I mean shit, the ithing sells so many because you can buy it four places, online through Att and Apple and through their physical stores........Im just sayin!

 
Posted by AnonymousStilicho (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 08:392 years ago

I bought one. And it's being returned. Does that still count as one of the 5-6 million? Google have squandered a golden opportunity by selling a buggy defective device without the infrastructure to deal with the fallout. HTC are still rolling out patches to fix their WinMo fiasco with the HD2 (and still haven't fixed the ridiculous SMS lag problem). My Nexus One had connection problems, colour balance problems, camera problems and screen calibration problems. Unacceptable.

 
Posted by beaker
January 12, 2010 - 08:522 years ago

5 million?!

HAHAHAH!!!!! Please don't make me laugh anymore! The iPhone sold over 10 million when it was out! So, please. Again. 5 millions?!?!?!? HAHAHAHAHAHH!!!!!!!!!!!!

 
Posted by Ruben2841
January 12, 2010 - 09:192 years ago

I like the kiosk idea, and just like the iphone when it came out it had glitches that where resolve with an update, im sure google will do the same . it's only been a week.

 
Posted by Anonymous (not verified)
January 12, 2010 - 13:372 years ago

In order to sell that many, N1 should be the only leading phone for a while, but I don't think that's possible. Other manufacturers will soon make something better in order to compete, and even Droid with snapdragon can be better than N1.

And with online only selling, I am not sure whether N1 will even reach the selling of Droid.